Saturday, July 2, 2011

Poll: Guinta Gains on Shea-Porter after ‘Calamitous August’

September 3, 2009 by Patrick  
Filed under News & Politics

Manchester Mayor and Republican congressional candidate Frank Guinta has pulled within the margin of error against embattled incumbent Democratic Congresswoman Carol Shea-Porter, a new NowHampshire.com poll shows. The flash poll was conducted by Populus Research on the evening of September 2, 2009 among 406 likely General Election voters. It has a 4% margin or error.

“If the 2010 congressional election was being held today and the candidates were Congresswoman Carol Shea-Porter the Democrat and Frank Guinta the Republican, who would you vote for,” we asked.

Declining poll numbers after August recess

Declining poll numbers after August recess

Shea-Porter leads Guinta 46.3% to 43.4%. Ten point three percent are undecided.

For comparison purposes, a Republican-sponsored poll in April showed Shea-Porter leading Guinta 43% to 34%, with 24% undecided.

More problematic for Shea-Porter is her image ratio. More voters now disapprove than approve of the job she is doing in Congress by a 48% to 43.6% margin. Eight point four percent are unsure. An April University of New Hampshire poll showed her Favorable/Unfavorable ratio to be 38% to 35%.

“Frank Guinta has two things going for him right now,” said Steve DeMaura of Populus Research. “We’re seeing a general swing toward Republican candidates on the generic congressional ballot. And Carol-Shea Porter’s negatives have shot through the roof as a result of a calamitous August recess.”

Shea-Porter spent much of the August recess avoiding direct engagement with her constituents. She refused to hold traditional, New Hampshire-style town hall meetings until pressured into doing so last Saturday by Republicans and state media.

During one of her two town hall meetings, Shea-Porter evicted a retired cop and twenty-seven year veteran of the Air Force Reserves for being, as she stated in a press release, “unruly.” Video of the incident has dominated conservative cable news shows this week (see appended video below).

NowHampshire.com will release the complete poll on Thursday afternoon.

Contact: @patjhynes

Comments

22 Responses to “Poll: Guinta Gains on Shea-Porter after ‘Calamitous August’”
  1. I don’t think the Indiana poll is credible at all. It has Hostettler losing by 18 when just a few weeks ago he was behind by 3. I don’t doubt that Bayh is ahead at this point, but anybody who expects him to win by this much in November against Coats is letting hope triumph over reality. And frankly, any poll that has Hostettler’s favorability ratings that high statewide isn’t credible either.

  2. John Samsonite says:

    The video renews my support for Congresswoman Shea-Porter. She handled it calmly and with class as she always does.

    That man was looking for a fight wherever he could find it and deserved to be removed from the event.

    Good luck next year, Congresswoman. Thanks to this video (and the involvement of Sean Hannity), I will immediately contribute to your re-election campaign.

  3. Milton Russell says:

    Just remember we voted them in and we can vote them out.

  4. Mr. Swamp says:

    Populus Research is a conservative joke. I feel better already about Carol’s polls after reading this. Having Fox News show her is nothing but a free national fundraising ad for her. Anything that Hannity spews out does nothing but make money for democrats. It’s great and is a sure win for Carol. Playing these clips is even better. Frank Guinta has found his “Joe the Plumber” with this guy. All he turned out to be is a campaigner for Guinta. He’s all yours Frank, along with Fox News. Thanks again for the free press, it always helps! Carol 2010!!!

  5. Josh Smith says:

    Fox News sure knows how to put the spin on things. Everyone can speak their minds but this guy was obviously being disruptive.

    I live in this district and I just hope the GOP doesn’t take back the House after what they did during bush’s presidency.

  6. Bill says:

    “A new NowHampshire.com poll?” Give me a break!

  7. Skip Reilly says:

    I called Shea Porter’s office on 9/2 to register my opposition to the health reform bill. Because I do not live in her district, her office refused to take my name as they would not register my complaint. Sad state of affairs!

  8. lorendd says:

    Gosh, Maxwell Jump, Now why didn’t I think of that excellent way to get one citizen to force its will on another citizen!! Thanks a LOT! With that formula, I can put together a whole lot of really big guys, come to your house, and make you mow your lawn, or maybe plant a tree I like, or make you get rid of your ugly car and get a new one that I like more…
    Hey! If I call the union guys, maybe they can go visit your boss and force him to give you a raise!
    Then with all that extra money, whenever you go to another meeting, you can take a bunch of those really big guys along – you know, citizens… and make everybody you don’t like STFU, STFD, and just do what you want them to do – Or, just kick them the He** out of the meeting! WOW!
    Oh, but wait a minute! Some of that sorta sounds like what Obama is trying to do!! But isn’t that sort of unconstitutional? Like, don’t the Bill of Rights apply equally to you AND me? So, doesn’t that mean you really can’t MAKE me STFD or STFU ???
    Oh, crap!! If that’s true, then don’t you just have wait until I’ve had my say just like you get yours?
    But surely this doesn’t mean that being collegial (mutually respectful) has any merit, does it? Collegial? Really? Like our Founding Fathers? Well, maybe not. There were some less collegial than others.
    Bummer, Maxwell. I guess you just need to be a nice boy and behave yourself.
    And for Pete’s sakes, mow your lawn!

  9. John Calomiris says:

    Come election day,give that excuse for a polititian the boot.It`s one,two,three skido

  10. BAW says:

    I salute the voters of New Hampshire if they have, in fact, realized that this woman does not represent their state well. Now if we can just get the voters of some other states to do the same, perhaps we can clean out the worst of our arrogant “representatives” who think they rule the people.

    The off year election in 2010 will be our best opportunity since all the airheads who just want to vote for the president won’t bother to show up.

    I can hope.

  11. Trouble says:

    Dang, that picture… she’s more of a man than most men I know….

  12. Brian King says:

    The message lost on politicians is always treat everyone with respect. The person you are mocking may be a retired cop and veteran, or it may be a white police officer who just so happens to have wrote the book on race relations for his department. Seems pretty simple really.

  13. Joe K. says:

    Carol is going to get the high heel but good! About time. She is as corrupt and stupid as the other Dems and no, I am not a republican. Been a Dem voter for 25 of the last 26 years.

  14. Maxwell Jump says:

    The proles refuse to be led by their betters, they have no idea what’s good for them. Why do we let them vote? I mean really, look at the poll results, the rethuglican is within striking distance of this enlightened, caring, tolerant, gee-I-only-want-to-help-others politician. They need to STFU, STFD! Perhaps the unions can kindly “help” them see the light!

Trackbacks

Check out what others are saying about this post...
  1. [...] new NowHampshire.com poll shows Shea-Porter has been badly damaged as a result of the August recess health care [...]

  2. [...] Recent polls show Shea-Porter slipping dramatically in the face of a tough challenge from Manchester’s Republican Mayor Frank Guinta. [...]

  3. [...] Recent polls show Shea-Porter slipping dramatically in the face of a tough challenge from Manchester’s Republican Mayor Frank Guinta. [...]

  4. [...] Poll: Guinta Gains on Shea-Porter after ‘Calamitous August’ [...]

  5. [...] Now! Hampshire (H/T: Instapundit) reports that Shea Porter has gone from 43/34 in April against Frank Guinta to 46.3/43.4 in polling.  Better still, Shea-Porter now has an unfavorable rating of 48%.  Needless to say, it’s directly related to August: “Frank Guinta has two things going for him right now,” said Steve DeMaura of Populus Research. “We’re seeing a general swing toward Republican candidates on the generic congressional ballot. And Carol-Shea Porter’s negatives have shot through the roof as a result of a calamitous August recess.” [...]

  6. [...] Now! Hampshire (H/T: Instapundit) reports that Shea Porter has gone from 43/34 in April against Frank Guinta to 46.3/43.4 in polling.  Better still, Shea-Porter now has an unfavorable rating of 48%.  Needless to say, it’s directly related to August: “Frank Guinta has two things going for him right now,” said Steve DeMaura of Populus Research. “We’re seeing a general swing toward Republican candidates on the generic congressional ballot. And Carol-Shea Porter’s negatives have shot through the roof as a result of a calamitous August recess.” [...]



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